The thing about making decisions is that so often said decisions are based on assumptions we make about future events; what might or might not happen given an estimated progression of events.
I mentioned the disproportionate relationship between loss and reward whereas small gains don’t seem to rank as important as small losses.
That’s also true for fear. Not all, but most people who fear the future tend to fail miserably at predicting what might happen. Oh, sure, they’ll nail this or that event happening but they tend to overestimate either the importance of it or the consequence of it or both.
This is especially true with pundits and one thing they never do is self-check.
By that, I mean they don’t go back and see how accurate they were with their fears or even with their predictions of something happening.
Typically, they’re not very accurate. Then again, it’s easy to employ the psychic technique of calling something a hit even if it only matches 10% of what they predicted.
It’s a good habit to get into . . . tracking your success rate. See if what you feared (or — more likely — what you were told to fear) comes to fruition.
It should be easy to do; pick a topic you’re passionate about and predict what will happen if the political party you blindly support gets their way. Then — using the same topic — predict what will happen if the political party you blindly hate gets their way.
And, I don’t mean answer how you’ll feel. Nope; I want a prediction about society, the market, the environment, or whatever else keeps you up at night. Write it down and stash it someplace and when sufficient time has passed, dig it out and read it, scoring yourself for the accuracy of prediction.
My bet is that whatever you feared didn’t happen but something else did happen. Something that has an impact on your life but that — you being busy worrying about stuff that didn’t happen — you knew little about and what little you knew was wrong.
Of course, you could be one of them lucky few who predict everything correctly. Well, bad news for you . . . with that talent, you’ll never work in the modern news media.
And now, the photo:
Another JWildfire Mini offering tweaked and enhanced using Lightroom, Topaz, and Photoshop.
I’ve yet to find something that gives a decent interactive experience when it comes to producing fractals. The search will continue . . . until I get bored.
Oh, that politicians would reason so . . .
. . . actually, I’d be happy with any evidence they reason at all . . .
. . . and happier yet if I could believe for one instant they cared at all for anything but money and power.
Oh, well . . . at least, my String Theory thought experiments are paying off.
I showed one option for shipping the Fifth Dimension (Space/Time and not the band) and I now give you . . . The Fifth Dimension Packaged For Shipping — Batch Two.
And . . . that’s it
Some of these posts will likely be longer as the mood hits me, but most will be thus; short, uninteresting, bland, and relentless.
You can read about Project 313 HERE.
That’s it. This post has ended . . . except for the stuff below.
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